Will there be greater or fewer hurricanes in the future?

The effects of global warming on hurricane activity in the North Atlantic are uncertain. Here are two conflicting reports; one suggesting there will be more hurricanes and that they will be stronger, the other predicting that there will be fewer:

More:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7596643.stm

Fewer:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7404846.stm

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